Chen Shuo
Godfather Politicians and Organized Violence: The Good, The Bad, and The Bloody
2023 Shuo Chen, Xinyu Fan and Xuanyi Wang
ABSTRACT
Virtuous politicians are considered as ideal public servants. Ironically, social order does not necessarily improve when good politicians replace flawed ones. A corrupt politician (“Godfather”) may arbitrate otherwise violent conflicts for extralegal personal benefits while maintaining local peace. Eradicating such politicians, therefore, leads to social unrest. Utilizing a unique natural experiment – China’s anti-corruption campaign since 2013, we use a difference-in-differences test to show that organized violence surged by an additional 14% in cases where officials were found colluding with organized criminals. We further show that the organized violence surge was not due to reporting bias, government failures, or gangster infightings.